NBM v5.0 - Reference Time 2026-06-08 00:00 UTC

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 3 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 15 2026060803 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 9 2026060803 1 1
GLMP 20260607 23 4 2026060803 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 9 2026060803 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 9 2026060803 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 6 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 18 2026060806 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 12 2026060806 1 1
GLMP 20260607 23 7 2026060806 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 12 2026060806 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 12 2026060806 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 9 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 21 2026060809 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 15 2026060809 1 1
GLMP 20260607 23 10 2026060809 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 15 2026060809 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 15 2026060809 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 12 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 24 2026060812 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 18 2026060812 1 1
GLMP 20260607 23 13 2026060812 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 18 2026060812 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 18 2026060812 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 15 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 27 2026060815 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 21 2026060815 1 1
GLMP 20260607 23 16 2026060815 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 21 2026060815 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 21 2026060815 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 18 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 30 2026060818 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 24 2026060818 1 1
GLMP 20260607 23 19 2026060818 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 24 2026060818 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 24 2026060818 1 1

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 21 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 33 2026060821 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 27 2026060821 1 1
GLMP 20260607 23 22 2026060821 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 27 2026060821 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 27 2026060821 1 1

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 24 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 36 2026060900 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 30 2026060900 1 1
GLMP 20260607 23 25 2026060900 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 30 2026060900 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 30 2026060900 1 1

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 27 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 39 2026060903 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 33 2026060903 1 1
GLMP 20260607 23 28 2026060903 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 33 2026060903 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 33 2026060903 1 1

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 30 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 42 2026060906 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 36 2026060906 1 1
GLMP 20260607 23 31 2026060906 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 36 2026060906 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 36 2026060906 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 33 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 45 2026060909 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 39 2026060909 1 1
GLMP 20260607 23 34 2026060909 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 39 2026060909 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 39 2026060909 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 36 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 48 2026060912 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 42 2026060912 1 1
GLMP 20260607 23 37 2026060912 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 42 2026060912 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 42 2026060912 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 39 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 51 2026060915 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 45 2026060915 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 45 2026060915 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 45 2026060915 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 42 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 54 2026060918 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 48 2026060918 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 48 2026060918 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 48 2026060918 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 45 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 57 2026060921 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 51 2026060921 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 51 2026060921 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 51 2026060921 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 48 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 60 2026061000 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 54 2026061000 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 54 2026061000 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 54 2026061000 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 51 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 63 2026061003 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 57 2026061003 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 57 2026061003 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 57 2026061003 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 54 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 66 2026061006 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 60 2026061006 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 60 2026061006 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 60 2026061006 1 1

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 57 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 69 2026061009 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 63 2026061009 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 63 2026061009 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 63 2026061009 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 60 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 72 2026061012 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 66 2026061012 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 66 2026061012 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 66 2026061012 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 63 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 75 2026061015 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 69 2026061015 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 69 2026061015 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 69 2026061015 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 66 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 78 2026061018 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 72 2026061018 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 72 2026061018 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 72 2026061018 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 69 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 81 2026061021 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 75 2026061021 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 75 2026061021 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 75 2026061021 1 1

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 72 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 84 2026061100 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 78 2026061100 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 78 2026061100 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 78 2026061100 1 0

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 75 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 87 2026061103 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 81 2026061103 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 81 2026061103 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 81 2026061103 1 1

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 78 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 90 2026061106 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 84 2026061106 1 1
NAMMOS 20260607 18 84 2026061106 1 0
NAMMOS 20260607 18 84 2026061106 1 1

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 81 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 93 2026061109 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 87 2026061109 1 1

For 3 hr Probability of Thunderstorm (CONUS) - 84 hour Projection

Model Date Cycle Projection Valid Date Expected Used
ECMMOS 20260607 12 96 2026061112 1 1
GFSMOS 20260607 18 90 2026061112 1 1